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WorldCist'23 - 11st World Conference on Information Systems and Technologies

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Developing A Foresight Model For Law Enforcement Organizations To Detect and Analyze Future Challenges and Threats

The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a method for making decisions in situ-ations where multiple criteria must be considered. It is particularly useful in crisis situations where there are a number of feasible choices and decision criteria with diverse priorities. The author has developed a new model using the Analytic Hi-erarchy Process (AHP) method to detect and analyze future risks and challenges in Dubai Police and provide early warning signs to decision makers. The AHP method allows decision makers to differentiate between the importance of each criterion and compare them according to their importance. This helps to avoid stimulating risks or crises by choosing the best alternative based on a systematic evaluation of the available options. A proof-of-concept has been implemented as part of the work done by the author. The model is designed to improve the future readiness of Dubai Police by identifying and analyzing potential risks and chal-lenges. The model uses mathematical, operational research, and decision-making models and is intended to be more reliable and practical than current models used in the law-enforcement sector, which are often deterministic, simplified, or incon-sistent in their application and assumptions.

Mohamed Saad Eldin
Foresight and Decision Making Support Center- Dubai Police- Dubai -UAE
United Arab Emirates


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